Kerry Back and Kevin Crotty
A large academic and practitioner literature shows that some trades by company insiders contain information about future returns.
Quandl’s Core US Insiders Data (SHARADAR/SF2) can be used to explore these strategies
Separate routine from opportunistic insider trades
Routine traders are those trading in same month each year for 3 years
Opportunistic insider trades have more information content (esp. nonexecutive insiders from geographically concentrated, poorly governed firms)
A value-weighted portfolio focusing on opportunistic trades returns 82 bps per month
Short-horizon (SH) insiders make both more unexpected and more informed trades than those of long-horizon (LH) insiders.
Investment horizon: absolute value of average annual net order flow in insider’s own-company stock over past 10 years
Long-short strategy of recent strong purchases and sales of SH insiders: 2.08% abnormal monthly return
Long-short strategy of recent strong purchases and sales of LH insiders: 0.77% per month
CMP focuses on unexpectedness in trade timing
AJK focuses on unexpectedness in trade direction
AJK also takes trading strength into account
Trading strength = net insider purchases scaled by trading volume